Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.894101 20.656772 23.948299 28.231522 33.771157 40.864130 50.935434
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 14.526475 17.737644 21.923817 27.991695 36.965173 50.524006 74.457070
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 12.839364 16.265599 21.011630 28.442397 40.622379 61.777978 107.783337
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 11.304973 14.666440 19.512597 27.511917 41.636053 68.977091 140.343814
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 10.339775 13.700224 18.722352 27.429216 43.952434 79.734703 195.261724
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.311773 12.502924 17.382461 26.117384 43.522105 84.362417 240.730207
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.381912 11.354572 15.970569 24.416725 41.831176 85.159558 275.292258
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.664008 10.466187 14.879290 23.120009 40.669336 86.910117 321.514784
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.862316 11.016497 16.215061 26.597918 51.319853 132.009828 947.644224
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.700860 10.967820 16.512485 28.094829 57.931508 173.235422 2906.050299
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.165828 10.256454 15.549075 26.760373 56.379845 177.669859 4576.190227
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.933383 10.034399 15.453170 27.303780 60.519543 217.577905 40164.933892
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.564087 9.572208 14.902262 26.821993 61.686540 246.034681 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.270246 9.220006 14.527443 26.696785 64.078633 291.026372 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.063629 9.003045 14.388048 27.109106 68.619008 372.566935 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.745421 8.566461 13.775302 26.243135 68.053962 403.721893 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.532585 8.304886 13.488890 26.166029 70.656816 491.949508 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.228631 7.861615 12.800464 24.942509 68.047353 494.709611 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.910658 7.379138 12.004243 23.353233 63.476427 454.284566 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.647014 6.985363 11.369477 22.139019 60.304667 435.510205 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.798444 7.356518 12.335497 25.390933 79.000101 1137.952640 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.771984 7.394763 12.605986 26.786062 90.474896 2430.952341 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 4.549433 7.050172 12.019292 25.542470 86.301855 2325.531937 NaN